Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Oregon 77½ -174 123-113½ -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Washington State 70 --- -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Boise State 67 3-610 15-21-6 141011---- ------- --
Utah 64 --3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Texas Christian 50 3312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Boston College 44½ --- -15½675- -35--- ---536 5---
Kansas State 42 11-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Cincinnati 37 1-18 99------ -------- ----
Michigan State 36 912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Brigham Young 33 --11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Mississippi 32½ ---7½ 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Alabama 29 0-9 18--13- -2½14- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Kansas 27 ---1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
Arkansas 25 83- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
Oregon State 24½ --1-2 815---- -8½22--- --------
South Carolina 23 54- -1---- --87---- -------
Texas Tech 23 --5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
Wisconsin 23 6510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Maryland 22 -3- -----4 0815-- -------- --
North Carolina State 21 -1- ------10 14------- 9-382--
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Stanford 21 022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Tulane 19 --- -------- --19----- ----
Louisville 17 --- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Mississippi State 16½ -511- ------- -8½213-- --2-13 ---
Miami-Ohio 16 --- -----16-- -------- ----
Southern Miss 16 6-- -------- -412-5 7------- -
Colorado State 15 --- -------- 12--136- -10-----
East Carolina 15 --- ------- -2---- -----17- -
Nevada-Reno 15 -15- -------- -------- ----
Minnesota 14 --- -----6-- -8------ ----
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Northwestern 13 --- ------- -10---- 518----- -
Houston 12 8-- ------- -------- ---613 -3
Georgia Tech 11½ --63 4------ -149-7 16½1----- -1924-
Iowa 11½ --1512½ 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Oklahoma State 11½ 13-17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
Baylor 10 13-- -------- -------- -3---
Air Force 9 --- -------- --13----- --4--
Hawaii 9 --- -3------ -------- 6---
Marshall 9 --- ------ -5--14- ------- --
Arizona State 7 -1-- -9½10-4 -77 -----18 1218----- --
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Illinois 7 --- -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Missouri 7 -78- -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Tulsa 7 -2- -------- -------- -5--
Wake Forest 6 --- -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
Central Florida 5 -5- -------- -------- ----
Toledo 5 --- -------3 -----2-- ----
Rutgers --- --9½14- -------- --------
Wyoming 4 --- -------- ----4--- ----
Bowling Green 3 --- -----3-- -------- ----
Central Michigan 3 --3 -------- -------- ----
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Purdue 3 --- ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Auburn -22- -153-2½ 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
Navy 2 --- ----2-- ------- ------
Georgia -1-4-13½ -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Army 1 --- ------- -----1- ------
Iowa State 1 --- ------- -1----- ------
Virginia 1 --- -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
Pittsburgh 0 --811 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
Memphis -1 --- -----1 -------- -------
Fresno State -2 --- ----84 -------- ---2---
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Virginia Tech -2 -13-8-3½ -1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
Colorado -7 --- ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
South Florida -7 --- -7---- -------- -------
West Virginia -8½ 7-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18½-- --2
California -10 ---15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
Arizona -11 --- ------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
North Carolina -15 --10-4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Penn State -24 --9-1 13-9½-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 8-2323 -6
Ohio State -25 -11-30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
Washington -28 --- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Syracuse -34½ --- -------12- --11-6½ -127--20 48-4-12
Louisiana State -35 311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
UCLA -43½ --- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10½-10 8-133- -21
Tennessee -45 --- -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Texas A&M -49½ -15½7- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Clemson -58 4-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Miami-Florida -61 --137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Michigan -63½ 14-- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713½ -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Florida -67½ -4 -22-2 4-7 -3½-12 -20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
Southern Cal -72 17-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Nebraska -73½ -12-1112 --7-7 2-2 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Florida State -81 -194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Texas -85 --200 6-7½-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10½-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Oklahoma -86½ -141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10½-13 3-7-2 0-13
Notre Dame -92½ -17--6½ ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Team Total 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. Any Big West member would have a score of zero (since they never had a team ranked in preseason or final polls during this span) but that would not mean each of those teams are stronger than the ones (such as Nebraska) which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)