What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)

Preseason Prediction Accuracy (1993-2007)


See "notes" following the table for more information on its contents.

Magazine Rank Total
Score
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993
Lindy's 1 2,063 137 171 129 148 149 150 155 124 152 117 126 92 123 126 164
Street & Smith 2 2,083½ 150 168 139 143 147 155 180 136 138 119 117 103 138½ 110 140
Athlon 3 2,119 135 158 134 147 149 144 162 134 149 120 129 109 138 149 162
GamePlan 4 2,123 145 174 157 145 141 154 165 132 157 126 118 111 132 122 144
The Sporting News 5 2,128 140 170 145 133 146 131 173 135 155 124 140 99 141 132 164

This page shows the accuracy of preseason magazines' conference predictions for the fourteen-year span 1993-2007 ("all-time," as long as my preseason consensus has been produced, going into the 2008 season). In order to qualify for either table, a magazine must have been published for every year used in that table.

There is also a "2005-2007 (last three years)" table, and a "2003-2007 (last five years)" table.

Tables with more years have the advantage of having a larger sample of data: a single unusually lucky or unlucky year has less impact on the standings. However, tables with fewer years have the advantage of including more magazines: several of the magazines available today were not published if one goes back far enough.

Notes:


What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)